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7 of 7 matches with xG: 15 goals from 17.3 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Volos NFC 1–1 Iraklis 1908 | 1.19–0.48 | 54% · 31% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Volos NFC had 54% |
| Panetolikos 2–0 Kalamata | 2.46–1.02 | 69% · 17% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Panetolikos |
| Aris Thessaloniki 2–1 OFI | 1.75–1.34 | 47% · 23% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Aris Thessaloniki |
| Atromitos 1–2 PAOK | 1.33–1.61 | 32% · 24% · 44% | Win in line with xG for PAOK |
| Asteras Tripolis 0–1 Olympiacos | 0.83–1.70 | 18% · 24% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Olympiacos |
| Kifisia 1–1 AEK Athens | 1.11–0.42 | 53% · 33% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Kifisia had 53% |
| Levadiakos 0–2 Panathinaikos | 0.96–1.09 | 31% · 30% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Panathinaikos |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.