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7 of 7 matches with xG: 19 goals from 16.0 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Volos NFC 1–1 Olympiacos | 0.41–1.62 | 9% · 23% · 68% | Draw against the xG: Olympiacos had 68% |
| AEK Athens 5–0 Aris Thessaloniki | 3.53–0.40 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for AEK Athens |
| Atromitos 1–1 Kalamata | 0.24–0.46 | 14% · 55% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| OFI 2–0 Kifisia | 0.67–1.10 | 22% · 32% · 46% | Won against the xG: OFI |
| Levadiakos 0–2 Panetolikos | 0.69–1.27 | 20% · 29% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Panetolikos |
| Panathinaikos 3–1 PAOK | 2.72–1.02 | 73% · 15% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Panathinaikos |
| Asteras Tripolis 0–2 Iraklis 1908 | 0.99–0.92 | 36% · 32% · 32% | Close call, Iraklis 1908 won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.