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5 of 7 matches with xG: 9 goals from 14.4 xG (0.62 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos 0–1 OFI | 1.39–0.87 | 49% · 27% · 24% | Won against the xG: OFI |
| Kalamata 3–1 Volos NFC | 2.25–0.76 | 71% · 18% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Kalamata |
| Asteras Tripolis 1–1 AEK Athens | 1.46–2.17 | 26% · 21% · 54% | Draw against the xG: AEK Athens had 54% |
| Kifisia 0–0 Levadiakos | 1.38–0.53 | 58% · 28% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Kifisia had 58% |
| PAOK 2–0 Aris Thessaloniki | 2.39–1.24 | 63% · 19% · 18% | Win in line with xG for PAOK |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.