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5 of 7 matches with xG: 10 goals from 11.7 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamshedpur 1–1 ATK Mohun Bagan | 0.43–1.19 | 13% · 31% · 55% | Draw against the xG: ATK Mohun Bagan had 55% |
| Goa 0–2 Bengaluru | 1.11–0.81 | 42% · 31% · 26% | Won against the xG: Bengaluru |
| SC Delhi 2–0 Kerala Blasters | 1.72–1.75 | 38% · 22% · 39% | Close call, SC Delhi won |
| Mumbai City 1–0 Odisha | 2.31–0.57 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Mumbai City |
| Chennaiyin 1–2 Inter Kashi | 0.71–1.07 | 24% · 32% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Inter Kashi |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.