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5 of 7 matches with xG: 15 goals from 13.0 xG (1.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NorthEast United 0–3 SC Delhi | 1.52–1.58 | 37% · 24% · 39% | Win in line with xG for SC Delhi |
| Goa 3–1 Odisha | 1.78–0.70 | 63% · 23% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Goa |
| Inter Kashi 1–0 Mohammedan | 0.67–0.71 | 29% · 39% · 32% | Close call, Inter Kashi won |
| ATK Mohun Bagan 3–2 Minerva Punjab | 0.43–2.23 | 6% · 15% · 79% | Won against the xG: ATK Mohun Bagan |
| Kerala Blasters 1–1 NorthEast United | 1.41–1.95 | 28% · 22% · 50% | Draw against the xG: NorthEast United had 50% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.