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6 of 7 matches with xG: 16 goals from 13.2 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Bengal II 3–3 Bengaluru | 1.28–1.81 | 27% · 23% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chennaiyin 1–0 SC Delhi | 0.64–0.73 | 28% · 39% · 33% | Close call, Chennaiyin won |
| Odisha 1–1 Mohammedan | 1.50–1.92 | 30% · 22% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kerala Blasters 2–0 Jamshedpur | 0.74–0.90 | 28% · 35% · 37% | Close call, Kerala Blasters won |
| Goa 2–0 Mumbai City | 0.72–0.85 | 28% · 36% · 36% | Close call, Goa won |
| Minerva Punjab 3–0 Inter Kashi | 1.77–0.32 | 74% · 20% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Minerva Punjab |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.