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4 of 5 matches with xG: 14 goals from 11.9 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City 4–1 Bohemians | 3.23–0.81 | 84% · 10% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Derry City |
| St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Drogheda United | 1.31–1.06 | 42% · 28% · 30% | Win in line with xG for St Patrick's Athl. |
| Waterford 4–0 Sligo Rovers | 3.12–0.40 | 90% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Waterford |
| Shelbourne 2–1 Shamrock Rovers | 0.49–1.46 | 12% · 26% · 61% | Won against the xG: Shelbourne |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.