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4 of 5 matches with xG: 14 goals from 8.8 xG (1.58 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drogheda United 3–3 Waterford | 0.90–1.85 | 18% · 22% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Waterford had 60% |
| Dundalk 2–1 Derry City | 1.76–0.77 | 61% · 23% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Dundalk |
| Sligo Rovers 1–3 Bohemians | 0.41–1.92 | 7% · 19% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Bohemians |
| Shamrock Rovers 1–0 St Patrick's Athl. | 0.43–0.80 | 18% · 40% · 41% | Won against the xG: Shamrock Rovers |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.