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4 of 5 matches with xG: 8 goals from 8.9 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City 0–0 St Patrick's Athl. | 0.62–0.63 | 29% · 41% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Shelbourne 2–1 Waterford | 2.81–0.27 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Shelbourne |
| Drogheda United 1–1 Dundalk | 0.80–0.97 | 29% · 33% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Shamrock Rovers 1–2 Sligo Rovers | 1.46–1.34 | 40% · 25% · 35% | Close call, Sligo Rovers won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.