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4 of 5 matches with xG: 8 goals from 11.5 xG (0.70 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City 0–0 Shelbourne | 0.83–0.07 | 54% · 43% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Derry City had 54% |
| Bohemians 1–2 Shamrock Rovers | 2.54–1.38 | 63% · 18% · 19% | Won against the xG: Shamrock Rovers |
| Dundalk 1–2 Drogheda United | 1.44–1.25 | 42% · 26% · 33% | Close call, Drogheda United won |
| Waterford 1–1 St Patrick's Athl. | 1.43–2.55 | 20% · 18% · 62% | Draw against the xG: St Patrick's Athl. had 62% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.