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4 of 5 matches with xG: 11 goals from 10.5 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shelbourne 0–3 Bohemians | 0.38–1.25 | 11% · 30% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Bohemians |
| Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Derry City | 1.45–1.31 | 40% · 25% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Dundalk | 1.98–1.43 | 50% · 22% · 28% | Draw against the xG: St Patrick's Athl. had 50% |
| Sligo Rovers 2–2 Drogheda United | 1.69–1.01 | 53% · 24% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Sligo Rovers had 53% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.