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4 of 5 matches with xG: 5 goals from 10.2 xG (0.49 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk 1–1 Sligo Rovers | 1.78–1.41 | 46% · 23% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Drogheda United 0–0 Shamrock Rovers | 1.07–0.76 | 42% · 32% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Waterford 1–0 Shelbourne | 1.61–1.34 | 44% · 24% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Waterford |
| St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Derry City | 1.71–0.52 | 67% · 23% · 11% | Draw against the xG: St Patrick's Athl. had 67% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.