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3 of 5 matches with xG: 5 goals from 6.4 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shelbourne 0–1 Derry City | 0.82–1.05 | 28% · 32% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Derry City |
| Waterford 1–1 Dundalk | 2.04–0.55 | 73% · 19% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Waterford had 73% |
| St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Shamrock Rovers | 1.03–0.89 | 38% · 32% · 31% | Win in line with xG for St Patrick's Athl. |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.