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3 of 5 matches with xG: 10 goals from 8.3 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk 0–4 St Patrick's Athl. | 0.26–2.94 | 2% · 8% · 90% | Win in line with xG for St Patrick's Athl. |
| Shelbourne 1–2 Drogheda United | 1.32–1.32 | 37% · 26% · 37% | Close call, Drogheda United won |
| Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians | 1.24–1.23 | 37% · 27% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Shamrock Rovers |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.