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4 of 5 matches with xG: 16 goals from 12.3 xG (1.30 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians 3–0 Sligo Rovers | 1.48–0.15 | 72% · 24% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Bohemians |
| St Patrick's Athl. 0–2 Waterford | 1.42–2.27 | 23% · 20% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Waterford |
| Drogheda United 2–3 Dundalk | 1.89–3.04 | 22% · 16% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Dundalk |
| Derry City 3–3 Shamrock Rovers | 1.20–0.89 | 43% · 30% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.