Premier Division 2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 28

Matchday 28 in xG

3 of 5 matches with xG: 10 goals from 8.2 xG (1.22 goals per xG).

• Most xG without a win: Sligo Rovers 0–0 Waterford (xG 0.66–1.59). Draw against the xG: Waterford had 60% to win on xG.
• Win most in line with xG: Drogheda United 0–2 St Patrick's Athl. (xG 0.39–1.83). The winner had 73% on xG.
• Most xG: Bohemians 5–3 Derry City (xG 2.32–1.39). 3.71 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: Drogheda United 0–2 St Patrick's Athl. (xG 0.39–1.83). An xG gap of 1.44.
• Most goals above xG: Bohemians, +2.68 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: Waterford, -1.59 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 27 · Matchday 29