Premier Division 2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 33

Matchday 33 in xG

4 of 5 matches with xG: 15 goals from 12.0 xG (1.25 goals per xG).

• Biggest win against the xG: Derry City 1–0 St Patrick's Athl. (xG 0.70–2.61). The winner had 8% on xG.
• Win most in line with xG: Shelbourne 5–1 Sligo Rovers (xG 2.60–0.50). The winner had 82% on xG.
• Most xG: Derry City 1–0 St Patrick's Athl. (xG 0.70–2.61). 3.31 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: Shelbourne 5–1 Sligo Rovers (xG 2.60–0.50). An xG gap of 2.10.
• Most goals above xG: Shelbourne, +2.40 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: St Patrick's Athl., -2.61 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 32 · Matchday 34