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5 of 5 matches with xG: 12 goals from 11.8 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians 2–1 Waterford | 0.56–1.28 | 16% · 29% · 54% | Won against the xG: Bohemians |
| Drogheda United 2–0 Derry City | 0.92–1.35 | 26% · 28% · 47% | Won against the xG: Drogheda United |
| Galway United 2–0 Shamrock Rovers | 0.52–1.93 | 9% · 20% · 71% | Won against the xG: Galway United |
| St Patrick's Athl. 1–2 Shelbourne | 2.57–0.55 | 81% · 13% · 6% | Won against the xG: Shelbourne |
| Sligo Rovers 1–1 Dundalk | 0.36–1.73 | 7% · 21% · 72% | Draw against the xG: Dundalk had 72% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.