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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 27.6 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monza 1–2 Juventus | 0.76–2.60 | 9% · 15% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Genoa 1–1 Empoli | 1.03–0.81 | 40% · 32% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lazio 1–0 Cagliari | 1.95–0.56 | 71% · 20% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| AC Milan 3–1 Frosinone | 1.17–0.72 | 47% · 31% · 23% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Lecce 1–1 Bologna | 1.55–1.24 | 45% · 25% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fiorentina 3–0 Salernitana | 2.56–0.80 | 75% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| Udinese 3–3 Hellas Verona | 1.91–1.41 | 49% · 22% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sassuolo 1–2 AS Roma | 0.88–2.21 | 14% · 19% · 68% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Napoli 0–3 Inter | 0.57–2.69 | 6% · 12% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Torino 3–0 Atalanta | 1.69–0.46 | 68% · 23% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Torino |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.