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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 26.4 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus 1–0 Napoli | 1.09–1.23 | 32% · 28% · 39% | Close call, Juventus won |
| Hellas Verona 1–1 Lazio | 1.08–1.03 | 36% · 30% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atalanta 3–2 AC Milan | 3.33–1.52 | 72% · 14% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Inter 4–0 Udinese | 3.50–0.80 | 86% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Frosinone 0–0 Torino | 0.77–1.25 | 23% · 29% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Monza 1–0 Genoa | 0.39–1.41 | 10% · 27% · 63% | Won against the xG: Monza |
| Salernitana 1–2 Bologna | 0.52–2.09 | 8% · 18% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| AS Roma 1–1 Fiorentina | 0.66–1.46 | 17% · 27% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Fiorentina had 57% |
| Empoli 1–1 Lecce | 1.48–0.77 | 54% · 26% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Empoli had 54% |
| Cagliari 2–1 Sassuolo | 1.09–0.89 | 40% · 31% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Cagliari |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.