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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 26.5 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli 0–2 Lazio | 0.77–2.34 | 11% · 17% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Sassuolo 1–2 Genoa | 1.38–1.68 | 32% · 24% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
| Monza 0–1 Fiorentina | 0.74–1.98 | 13% · 20% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| Salernitana 2–2 AC Milan | 1.52–2.22 | 26% · 20% · 54% | Draw against the xG: AC Milan had 54% |
| Frosinone 1–2 Juventus | 0.51–1.14 | 17% · 32% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Bologna 1–0 Atalanta | 0.68–1.18 | 21% · 31% · 48% | Won against the xG: Bologna |
| Torino 1–1 Udinese | 1.01–0.85 | 38% · 32% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hellas Verona 2–0 Cagliari | 0.92–0.79 | 37% · 34% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Hellas Verona |
| Inter 2–0 Lecce | 2.92–1.29 | 71% · 15% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| AS Roma 2–0 Napoli | 1.90–0.70 | 66% · 21% · 13% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.