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10 of 10 matches with xG: 14 goals from 20.6 xG (0.68 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina 1–0 Torino | 0.55–0.34 | 33% · 49% · 18% | Close call, Fiorentina won |
| Napoli 0–0 Monza | 1.97–1.37 | 51% · 22% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Napoli had 51% |
| Genoa 1–1 Inter | 0.54–1.81 | 10% · 21% · 68% | Draw against the xG: Inter had 68% |
| Lazio 3–1 Frosinone | 1.56–1.13 | 47% · 25% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Atalanta 1–0 Lecce | 1.09–1.22 | 33% · 28% · 39% | Close call, Atalanta won |
| Cagliari 0–0 Empoli | 1.77–0.28 | 75% · 20% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Cagliari had 75% |
| Udinese 3–0 Bologna | 1.13–0.95 | 40% · 30% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Udinese |
| Hellas Verona 0–1 Salernitana | 0.79–0.52 | 39% · 39% · 22% | Won against the xG: Salernitana |
| AC Milan 1–0 Sassuolo | 1.56–0.49 | 64% · 25% · 11% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Juventus 1–0 AS Roma | 1.12–0.46 | 52% · 33% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.