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10 of 10 matches with xG: 33 goals from 22.7 xG (1.46 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salernitana 1–3 Empoli | 0.88–2.21 | 14% · 19% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Empoli |
| Cagliari 1–3 Lazio | 0.78–1.34 | 22% · 28% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| AS Roma 2–4 Inter | 0.68–0.95 | 25% · 34% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Sassuolo 1–1 Torino | 0.43–1.04 | 15% · 34% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Torino had 50% |
| Fiorentina 5–1 Frosinone | 2.32–1.12 | 64% · 19% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| Bologna 4–0 Lecce | 1.55–1.17 | 46% · 25% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Monza 0–0 Hellas Verona | 0.68–0.70 | 30% · 39% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Genoa 1–4 Atalanta | 0.77–2.10 | 13% · 19% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| AC Milan 1–0 Napoli | 0.90–0.67 | 39% · 35% · 26% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Juventus 0–1 Udinese | 1.70–0.68 | 62% · 23% · 15% | Won against the xG: Udinese |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.