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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 27.9 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino 2–0 Lecce | 1.35–0.46 | 59% · 28% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Torino |
| Inter 4–0 Salernitana | 3.99–0.03 | 98% · 2% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Napoli 1–1 Genoa | 1.37–0.27 | 66% · 27% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Napoli had 66% |
| Hellas Verona 2–2 Juventus | 0.57–1.87 | 11% · 21% · 69% | Draw against the xG: Juventus had 69% |
| Atalanta 3–0 Sassuolo | 4.48–1.67 | 83% · 9% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Lazio 1–2 Bologna | 1.12–1.39 | 30% · 27% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Empoli 1–1 Fiorentina | 1.03–0.73 | 42% · 33% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Udinese 1–1 Cagliari | 0.99–0.25 | 54% · 37% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Udinese had 54% |
| Frosinone 0–3 AS Roma | 1.46–1.81 | 31% · 23% · 46% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Monza 4–2 AC Milan | 1.75–1.33 | 47% · 23% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Monza |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.