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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 27.2 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna 2–0 Hellas Verona | 1.59–0.62 | 61% · 25% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Sassuolo 2–3 Empoli | 1.70–2.14 | 31% · 21% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Empoli |
| Salernitana 0–2 Monza | 0.94–2.40 | 13% · 17% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Monza |
| Genoa 2–0 Udinese | 1.36–0.30 | 64% · 28% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
| Juventus 3–2 Frosinone | 2.17–0.38 | 79% · 16% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Cagliari 1–1 Napoli | 0.75–1.29 | 22% · 29% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lecce 0–4 Inter | 0.99–2.93 | 10% · 14% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta | 1.30–1.12 | 41% · 27% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| AS Roma 3–2 Torino | 1.36–0.63 | 55% · 28% · 17% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Fiorentina 2–1 Lazio | 2.92–0.30 | 90% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.