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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 24.9 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo 3–1 Hellas Verona | 1.72–0.63 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Sassuolo |
| AS Roma 1–2 AC Milan | 0.71–1.66 | 16% · 24% · 60% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Bologna 2–1 Cagliari | 2.32–0.47 | 79% · 15% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Udinese 0–0 Frosinone | 1.52–1.69 | 35% · 23% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atalanta 3–0 Monza | 1.26–0.36 | 60% · 30% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Napoli 1–2 Lazio | 1.29–0.64 | 52% · 29% · 18% | Won against the xG: Lazio |
| Inter 4–0 Fiorentina | 3.73–0.38 | 94% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Torino 1–0 Genoa | 0.44–0.18 | 31% · 58% · 11% | Close call, Torino won |
| Empoli 0–2 Juventus | 0.34–2.69 | 3% · 10% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Lecce 2–0 Salernitana | 1.80–1.05 | 55% · 23% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Lecce |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.