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10 of 10 matches with xG: 37 goals from 26.4 xG (1.40 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus 3–1 Lazio | 2.39–0.57 | 78% · 15% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Inter 5–1 AC Milan | 2.65–1.06 | 71% · 16% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Genoa 2–2 Napoli | 1.20–0.95 | 42% · 29% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cagliari 0–0 Udinese | 1.59–0.75 | 57% · 25% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Cagliari had 57% |
| Frosinone 4–2 Sassuolo | 2.83–1.26 | 70% · 16% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Frosinone |
| Monza 1–1 Lecce | 2.18–0.89 | 67% · 19% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Monza had 67% |
| Fiorentina 3–2 Atalanta | 1.12–0.70 | 46% · 32% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| AS Roma 7–0 Empoli | 2.40–0.24 | 86% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Salernitana 0–3 Torino | 0.70–1.83 | 14% · 22% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Torino |
| Hellas Verona 0–0 Bologna | 0.42–0.62 | 21% · 45% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.