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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 21.5 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salernitana 1–1 Frosinone | 1.16–0.76 | 45% · 31% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lecce 1–0 Genoa | 0.90–0.32 | 49% · 39% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Lecce |
| AC Milan 1–0 Hellas Verona | 0.93–0.62 | 41% · 35% · 23% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Sassuolo 4–2 Juventus | 1.60–1.16 | 48% · 25% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Sassuolo |
| Lazio 1–1 Monza | 1.04–1.19 | 32% · 29% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Empoli 0–1 Inter | 0.31–1.65 | 6% · 22% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Atalanta 2–0 Cagliari | 1.73–0.75 | 61% · 23% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Udinese 0–2 Fiorentina | 2.24–0.52 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Won against the xG: Fiorentina |
| Bologna 0–0 Napoli | 0.24–2.06 | 3% · 16% · 81% | Draw against the xG: Napoli had 81% |
| Torino 1–1 AS Roma | 0.95–1.36 | 26% · 28% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.