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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 23.3 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus 1–0 Lecce | 1.44–0.05 | 75% · 24% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Cagliari 1–3 AC Milan | 0.88–2.19 | 14% · 19% · 67% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Empoli 1–0 Salernitana | 3.22–0.62 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Empoli |
| Hellas Verona 0–1 Atalanta | 0.48–1.23 | 14% · 30% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Inter 1–2 Sassuolo | 0.92–1.02 | 32% · 31% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Sassuolo |
| Lazio 2–0 Torino | 0.89–0.35 | 47% · 39% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Napoli 4–1 Udinese | 3.29–0.69 | 86% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Frosinone 1–1 Fiorentina | 0.71–1.47 | 18% · 27% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Fiorentina had 55% |
| Monza 0–0 Bologna | 0.74–0.58 | 35% · 39% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Genoa 4–1 AS Roma | 1.11–1.46 | 29% · 26% · 45% | Won against the xG: Genoa |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.