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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 22.8 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce 0–4 Napoli | 0.46–2.50 | 5% · 13% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| AC Milan 2–0 Lazio | 2.24–0.53 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Salernitana 0–4 Inter | 0.62–2.35 | 8% · 16% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Bologna 3–0 Empoli | 2.45–0.89 | 72% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Udinese 2–2 Genoa | 1.35–0.77 | 51% · 28% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Udinese had 51% |
| Atalanta 0–0 Juventus | 1.25–0.17 | 65% · 30% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Atalanta had 65% |
| AS Roma 2–0 Frosinone | 0.56–0.91 | 22% · 36% · 42% | Won against the xG: AS Roma |
| Sassuolo 0–1 Monza | 1.43–1.55 | 35% · 24% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Monza |
| Torino 0–0 Hellas Verona | 0.56–0.25 | 36% · 51% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fiorentina 3–0 Cagliari | 1.16–0.80 | 44% · 31% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.