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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 27.6 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona 1–3 Napoli | 1.27–2.34 | 20% · 19% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Torino 0–3 Inter | 0.39–2.52 | 4% · 12% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Sassuolo 0–2 Lazio | 0.52–2.27 | 7% · 16% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| AS Roma 1–0 Monza | 1.73–0.45 | 69% · 22% · 9% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Bologna 2–1 Frosinone | 1.52–1.51 | 38% · 24% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Salernitana 2–2 Cagliari | 1.52–1.66 | 35% · 23% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atalanta 2–0 Genoa | 1.33–0.99 | 44% · 28% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| AC Milan 0–1 Juventus | 0.31–1.43 | 8% · 26% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Udinese 1–1 Lecce | 2.50–0.78 | 75% · 16% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Udinese had 75% |
| Fiorentina 0–2 Empoli | 1.05–1.46 | 27% · 26% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Empoli |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.