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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 27.2 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa 2–2 Inter | 2.11–1.96 | 43% · 20% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Parma 1–1 Fiorentina | 1.82–0.75 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Parma had 63% |
| Empoli 0–0 Monza | 0.47–0.34 | 29% · 52% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| AC Milan 2–2 Torino | 2.13–0.99 | 63% · 20% · 17% | Draw against the xG: AC Milan had 63% |
| Bologna 1–1 Udinese | 3.25–0.99 | 81% · 11% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Bologna had 81% |
| Hellas Verona 3–0 Napoli | 1.85–0.96 | 58% · 23% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Hellas Verona |
| Cagliari 0–0 AS Roma | 0.98–0.94 | 35% · 32% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lazio 3–1 Venezia | 2.39–0.62 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Lecce 0–4 Atalanta | 1.58–1.74 | 35% · 23% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Juventus 3–0 Como | 1.20–0.17 | 64% · 31% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.