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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 28.9 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma 2–1 AC Milan | 1.73–1.95 | 35% · 22% · 44% | Close call, Parma won |
| Udinese 2–1 Lazio | 0.85–1.31 | 24% · 28% · 47% | Won against the xG: Udinese |
| Inter 2–0 Lecce | 2.42–0.27 | 85% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Monza 0–1 Genoa | 0.44–0.69 | 20% · 43% · 37% | Close call, Genoa won |
| Fiorentina 0–0 Venezia | 0.89–0.63 | 40% · 36% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Torino 2–1 Atalanta | 2.38–3.14 | 29% · 17% · 54% | Won against the xG: Torino |
| Napoli 3–0 Bologna | 2.46–0.64 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| AS Roma 1–2 Empoli | 2.19–2.87 | 30% · 18% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Empoli |
| Cagliari 1–1 Como | 0.81–1.53 | 20% · 26% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Como had 54% |
| Hellas Verona 0–3 Juventus | 0.52–1.23 | 16% · 30% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.