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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 26.7 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia 0–1 Torino | 0.84–1.04 | 29% · 32% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Torino |
| Inter 4–0 Atalanta | 1.31–1.36 | 36% · 26% · 38% | Close call, Inter won |
| Bologna 1–1 Empoli | 1.36–0.97 | 46% · 27% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lecce 1–0 Cagliari | 1.70–1.88 | 35% · 22% · 43% | Close call, Lecce won |
| Lazio 2–2 AC Milan | 2.07–1.29 | 55% · 21% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Lazio had 55% |
| Napoli 2–1 Parma | 2.19–1.76 | 48% · 20% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Fiorentina 2–2 Monza | 2.07–0.30 | 80% · 16% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Fiorentina had 80% |
| Genoa 0–2 Hellas Verona | 1.50–1.53 | 37% · 24% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Hellas Verona |
| Juventus 0–0 AS Roma | 0.47–0.37 | 28% · 51% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Udinese 1–0 Como | 0.98–1.68 | 22% · 24% · 54% | Won against the xG: Udinese |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.