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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 20.9 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino 1–1 Venezia | 2.13–0.66 | 71% · 18% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Torino had 71% |
| Cagliari 1–2 Udinese | 0.93–1.46 | 24% · 27% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Udinese |
| Parma 0–1 Como | 2.71–0.77 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Won against the xG: Como |
| Lecce 0–1 Napoli | 0.33–0.58 | 17% · 48% · 34% | Close call, Napoli won |
| Inter 1–0 Hellas Verona | 1.34–0.29 | 64% · 28% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Empoli 0–1 Lazio | 0.24–1.76 | 4% · 20% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Monza 0–4 Atalanta | 0.81–2.47 | 10% · 16% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| AS Roma 1–0 Fiorentina | 0.63–0.96 | 23% · 35% · 42% | Won against the xG: AS Roma |
| Bologna 1–1 Juventus | 0.44–0.77 | 19% · 41% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Genoa 1–2 AC Milan | 0.60–0.99 | 22% · 34% · 44% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.