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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 23.9 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como 1–0 Genoa | 1.31–1.28 | 37% · 26% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Venezia 0–2 AC Milan | 1.22–1.61 | 29% · 25% · 46% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Fiorentina 2–1 Empoli | 0.79–0.38 | 42% · 41% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| Inter 0–1 AS Roma | 1.04–1.93 | 20% · 22% · 58% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Juventus 2–0 Monza | 1.40–0.67 | 55% · 28% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Atalanta 1–1 Lecce | 2.16–1.53 | 52% · 21% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Atalanta had 52% |
| Napoli 2–0 Torino | 1.17–0.83 | 44% · 30% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Udinese 0–0 Bologna | 0.45–1.64 | 10% · 23% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Bologna had 67% |
| Hellas Verona 0–2 Cagliari | 0.30–1.94 | 5% · 18% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Cagliari |
| Lazio 2–2 Parma | 1.41–0.87 | 50% · 27% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.