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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 19.5 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce 0–3 Como | 0.67–1.34 | 19% · 28% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Monza 0–1 Napoli | 0.86–1.56 | 21% · 25% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| AS Roma 1–0 Hellas Verona | 1.51–0.51 | 62% · 26% · 12% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Empoli 2–2 Venezia | 1.16–1.81 | 24% · 23% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Venezia had 53% |
| Bologna 1–0 Inter | 0.82–0.62 | 37% · 37% · 25% | Close call, Bologna won |
| AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta | 0.65–1.82 | 13% · 22% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Cagliari 1–2 Fiorentina | 0.29–0.74 | 13% · 44% · 43% | Close call, Fiorentina won |
| Genoa 0–2 Lazio | 0.65–1.10 | 22% · 32% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Parma 1–0 Juventus | 0.60–0.77 | 26% · 39% · 36% | Close call, Parma won |
| Torino 2–0 Udinese | 0.92–1.13 | 29% · 30% · 40% | Close call, Torino won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.