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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 21.3 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese 0–4 AC Milan | 0.78–1.56 | 19% · 25% · 56% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Venezia 1–0 Monza | 1.25–0.46 | 56% · 30% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Venezia |
| Inter 3–1 Cagliari | 1.82–0.73 | 63% · 22% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Juventus 2–1 Lecce | 1.56–1.31 | 43% · 25% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Atalanta 2–0 Bologna | 1.14–0.63 | 48% · 32% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Fiorentina 0–0 Parma | 0.82–0.59 | 38% · 38% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hellas Verona 0–0 Genoa | 1.25–0.14 | 66% · 29% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Hellas Verona had 66% |
| Como 1–0 Torino | 1.37–1.22 | 40% · 26% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Lazio 1–1 AS Roma | 1.21–0.24 | 62% · 31% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Lazio had 62% |
| Napoli 3–0 Empoli | 2.02–1.21 | 56% · 21% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.