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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 22.7 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa 1–0 Udinese | 1.32–1.03 | 43% · 28% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
| Monza 1–3 Como | 0.90–2.17 | 14% · 19% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Parma 2–2 Inter | 1.49–2.07 | 28% · 21% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Inter had 51% |
| AC Milan 2–2 Fiorentina | 2.65–1.96 | 53% · 18% · 29% | Draw against the xG: AC Milan had 53% |
| Lecce 1–1 Venezia | 1.08–0.56 | 48% · 33% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| Empoli 0–0 Cagliari | 0.33–0.26 | 23% · 60% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| Torino 1–1 Hellas Verona | 1.08–0.94 | 38% · 31% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atalanta 0–1 Lazio | 0.53–0.52 | 28% · 45% · 27% | Close call, Lazio won |
| AS Roma 1–1 Juventus | 1.09–0.78 | 43% · 32% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bologna 1–1 Napoli | 0.80–1.17 | 25% · 30% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.