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10 of 10 matches with xG: 17 goals from 23.0 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como 1–1 Empoli | 1.94–1.68 | 44% · 22% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Venezia 0–1 Bologna | 0.72–1.01 | 25% · 33% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Juventus 1–0 Genoa | 0.94–0.36 | 49% · 37% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Lecce 0–1 AS Roma | 0.63–2.11 | 10% · 18% · 72% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Cagliari 3–0 Monza | 1.80–0.44 | 71% · 21% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Cagliari |
| Fiorentina 1–0 Atalanta | 1.61–1.22 | 46% · 25% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| Inter 2–1 Udinese | 1.66–0.74 | 59% · 24% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Napoli 2–1 AC Milan | 0.96–2.61 | 12% · 16% · 73% | Won against the xG: Napoli |
| Hellas Verona 0–0 Parma | 0.42–0.54 | 22% · 47% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lazio 1–1 Torino | 1.20–0.39 | 57% · 31% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Lazio had 57% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.