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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 19.6 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa 2–1 Lecce | 1.04–1.36 | 29% · 27% · 44% | Won against the xG: Genoa |
| Monza 1–1 Parma | 0.69–0.63 | 32% · 40% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Udinese 0–1 Hellas Verona | 0.53–0.27 | 34% · 52% · 15% | Won against the xG: Hellas Verona |
| AC Milan 2–1 Como | 0.92–0.99 | 32% · 32% · 36% | Close call, AC Milan won |
| Torino 1–0 Empoli | 0.65–0.97 | 24% · 34% · 42% | Won against the xG: Torino |
| Venezia 0–0 Napoli | 0.71–1.54 | 17% · 26% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Napoli had 57% |
| Bologna 5–0 Lazio | 2.18–0.47 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| AS Roma 1–0 Cagliari | 1.56–0.82 | 55% · 25% · 20% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Fiorentina 3–0 Juventus | 0.40–0.85 | 16% · 39% · 44% | Won against the xG: Fiorentina |
| Atalanta 0–2 Inter | 0.66–2.39 | 8% · 16% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.