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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 19.7 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa 0–0 Lecce | 0.50–0.37 | 30% · 50% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sassuolo 0–2 Napoli | 0.38–1.19 | 12% · 31% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| AC Milan 1–2 Cremonese | 1.92–0.21 | 79% · 17% · 3% | Won against the xG: Cremonese |
| AS Roma 1–0 Bologna | 1.56–0.58 | 61% · 25% · 14% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Cagliari 1–1 Fiorentina | 1.13–0.98 | 39% · 30% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Como 2–0 Lazio | 1.32–0.25 | 65% · 28% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Atalanta 1–1 Pisa | 1.92–0.63 | 68% · 21% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Atalanta had 68% |
| Juventus 2–0 Parma | 2.35–0.62 | 76% · 16% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Udinese 1–1 Hellas Verona | 0.73–0.56 | 35% · 40% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Inter 5–0 Torino | 1.59–0.94 | 53% · 25% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.