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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 26.1 xG (0.77 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese 3–2 Sassuolo | 3.32–1.32 | 76% · 13% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Cremonese |
| Lecce 0–2 AC Milan | 0.30–1.85 | 5% · 19% · 76% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Bologna 1–0 Como | 1.10–0.69 | 45% · 32% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Parma 1–1 Atalanta | 0.68–0.81 | 28% · 37% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Napoli 1–0 Cagliari | 1.58–0.53 | 63% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Pisa 0–1 AS Roma | 0.56–0.78 | 24% · 39% · 37% | Close call, AS Roma won |
| Genoa 0–1 Juventus | 0.55–1.03 | 19% · 34% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Torino 0–0 Fiorentina | 1.02–1.74 | 22% · 24% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Fiorentina had 54% |
| Inter 1–2 Udinese | 1.97–1.21 | 55% · 22% · 23% | Won against the xG: Udinese |
| Lazio 4–0 Hellas Verona | 4.13–0.92 | 90% · 7% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.