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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 24.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari 2–0 Parma | 1.13–1.96 | 22% · 22% · 57% | Won against the xG: Cagliari |
| Juventus 4–3 Inter | 0.68–0.96 | 25% · 34% · 41% | Won against the xG: Juventus |
| Fiorentina 1–3 Napoli | 1.65–3.29 | 16% · 14% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| AS Roma 0–1 Torino | 1.14–0.65 | 47% · 32% · 21% | Won against the xG: Torino |
| Atalanta 4–1 Lecce | 2.12–0.46 | 76% · 17% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Pisa 0–1 Udinese | 0.53–1.00 | 19% · 35% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Udinese |
| Sassuolo 1–0 Lazio | 1.16–0.76 | 45% · 31% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Sassuolo |
| AC Milan 1–0 Bologna | 1.00–0.17 | 57% · 37% · 6% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Hellas Verona 0–0 Cremonese | 1.46–0.24 | 69% · 25% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Hellas Verona had 69% |
| Como 1–1 Genoa | 1.83–2.34 | 31% · 20% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.