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Italy Serie A 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 4

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Matches

Matchday 4 in xG

10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 23.3 xG (1.11 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Lecce 1–2 Cagliari0.99–2.2415% · 19% · 66%Win in line with xG for Cagliari
Bologna 2–1 Genoa1.59–0.5363% · 24% · 12%Win in line with xG for Bologna
Hellas Verona 1–1 Juventus1.53–0.4764% · 25% · 11%Draw against the xG: Hellas Verona had 64%
Udinese 0–3 AC Milan0.34–1.449% · 26% · 65%Win in line with xG for AC Milan
Lazio 0–1 AS Roma1.04–1.1632% · 29% · 38%Win in line with xG for AS Roma
Cremonese 0–0 Parma0.12–0.845% · 42% · 53%Draw against the xG: Parma had 53%
Torino 0–3 Atalanta1.20–1.6428% · 24% · 48%Win in line with xG for Atalanta
Fiorentina 1–2 Como0.49–1.2515% · 30% · 55%Win in line with xG for Como
Inter 2–1 Sassuolo1.89–0.8961% · 22% · 17%Win in line with xG for Inter
Napoli 3–2 Pisa1.08–2.6113% · 16% · 70%Won against the xG: Napoli

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 3 · Matchday 5

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