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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 25.3 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como 1–1 Cremonese | 1.30–0.45 | 58% · 29% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Como had 58% |
| Juventus 1–1 Atalanta | 1.59–0.73 | 58% · 25% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Juventus had 58% |
| Cagliari 0–2 Inter | 0.18–2.82 | 1% · 8% · 91% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Sassuolo 3–1 Udinese | 1.24–1.32 | 35% · 27% · 39% | Close call, Sassuolo won |
| Pisa 0–0 Fiorentina | 0.80–0.89 | 30% · 34% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| AS Roma 2–0 Hellas Verona | 0.95–1.38 | 26% · 27% · 47% | Won against the xG: AS Roma |
| Lecce 2–2 Bologna | 1.80–1.37 | 48% · 23% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| AC Milan 2–1 Napoli | 0.75–2.96 | 6% · 12% · 82% | Won against the xG: AC Milan |
| Parma 2–1 Torino | 1.34–0.76 | 51% · 28% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Parma |
| Genoa 0–3 Lazio | 1.63–1.07 | 50% · 25% · 25% | Won against the xG: Lazio |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.