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10 of 10 matches with xG: 14 goals from 21.2 xG (0.66 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pisa 1–1 Atalanta | 1.19–1.15 | 37% · 28% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Udinese 0–1 Inter | 0.22–1.59 | 5% · 23% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Napoli 1–0 Sassuolo | 0.58–0.91 | 22% · 36% · 42% | Won against the xG: Napoli |
| Cagliari 1–0 Juventus | 0.11–1.35 | 3% · 27% · 70% | Won against the xG: Cagliari |
| Parma 0–0 Genoa | 0.44–1.04 | 15% · 34% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Genoa had 50% |
| Bologna 1–2 Fiorentina | 1.27–1.73 | 28% · 24% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| Torino 0–2 AS Roma | 0.44–1.86 | 8% · 20% · 72% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| AC Milan 1–0 Lecce | 3.40–0.17 | 95% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Cremonese 0–0 Hellas Verona | 0.70–0.49 | 36% · 42% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lazio 0–3 Como | 0.29–2.31 | 3% · 13% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Como |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.