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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 28.4 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como 1–1 Bologna | 0.84–1.15 | 27% · 30% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Udinese 2–2 Pisa | 2.23–1.48 | 55% · 20% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Udinese had 55% |
| AS Roma 2–0 Sassuolo | 2.54–0.74 | 76% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Atalanta 2–0 Torino | 2.61–0.82 | 76% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Lecce 1–2 Parma | 0.85–1.04 | 29% · 32% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Parma |
| Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan | 1.90–1.93 | 39% · 21% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hellas Verona 0–1 Lazio | 0.53–0.90 | 21% · 37% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Inter 2–2 Napoli | 1.45–0.74 | 54% · 27% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Inter had 54% |
| Genoa 3–0 Cagliari | 1.08–1.26 | 32% · 28% · 40% | Close call, Genoa won |
| Juventus 5–0 Cremonese | 3.40–0.90 | 84% · 10% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.