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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 31.4 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pisa 0–3 Como | 1.56–1.73 | 35% · 23% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Lecce 0–2 AS Roma | 0.55–1.33 | 15% · 29% · 56% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Sassuolo 0–3 Juventus | 0.21–2.57 | 2% · 10% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Bologna 0–2 Atalanta | 1.10–1.38 | 30% · 27% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Napoli 2–2 Hellas Verona | 1.22–1.82 | 26% · 23% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Hellas Verona had 51% |
| Lazio 2–2 Fiorentina | 2.74–1.64 | 61% · 17% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Lazio had 61% |
| Parma 0–2 Inter | 0.33–2.57 | 3% · 11% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Torino 1–2 Udinese | 1.09–2.15 | 18% · 20% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Udinese |
| Cremonese 2–2 Cagliari | 1.81–1.80 | 39% · 22% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| AC Milan 1–1 Genoa | 2.45–1.32 | 62% · 18% · 19% | Draw against the xG: AC Milan had 62% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.