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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 31.7 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio 3–2 Genoa | 2.13–1.76 | 47% · 21% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Pisa 1–3 Sassuolo | 1.06–2.26 | 17% · 19% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Sassuolo |
| Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina | 1.73–1.23 | 49% · 24% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Cagliari 4–0 Hellas Verona | 1.74–0.46 | 69% · 22% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Cagliari |
| Torino 1–0 Lecce | 1.81–0.64 | 66% · 22% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Torino |
| Como 0–0 Atalanta | 5.05–0.52 | 97% · 2% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Como had 97% |
| Cremonese 0–2 Inter | 0.72–1.41 | 19% · 27% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Parma 1–4 Juventus | 0.62–4.14 | 2% · 5% · 93% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Udinese 1–0 AS Roma | 0.54–0.74 | 24% · 40% · 36% | Close call, Udinese won |
| Bologna 0–3 AC Milan | 0.45–2.66 | 4% · 12% · 84% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.